Предупреждения, Honeyville

Tropical Cyclone Statement issued September 26 at 5:37AM EDT by NWS Tallahassee FL HLSTAE This product covers eastern Florida panhandle, Florida Big Bend, southeastern Alabama and southwestern Georgia **HELENE TO MAKE LANDFALL AS A MAJOR HURRICANE ALONG THE BIG BEND COAST THIS EVENING. PREPARATIONS NEED TO BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION EARLY THIS MORNING.** NEW INFORMATION --------------- * CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS: - None * CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS: - A Storm Surge Warning and Hurricane Warning are in effect for Coastal Dixie, Coastal Franklin, Coastal Gulf, Coastal Jefferson, Coastal Taylor, Coastal Wakulla, Inland Dixie, Inland Jefferson, Inland Taylor, and Inland Wakulla - A Hurricane Warning is in effect for Baker, Ben Hill, Berrien, Brooks, Calhoun, Calhoun, Clay, Colquitt, Cook, Decatur, Dougherty, Early, Gadsden, Grady, Henry, Houston, Inland Franklin, Inland Gulf, Irwin, Jackson, Lafayette, Lanier, Lee, Leon, Liberty, Lowndes, Madison, Miller, Mitchell, Quitman, Randolph, Seminole, Terrell, Thomas, Tift, Turner, and Worth - A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Central Walton, Coastal Bay, Coffee, Dale, Geneva, Holmes, Inland Bay, North Walton, South Walton, and Washington * STORM INFORMATION: - About 420 miles south-southwest of St Marks or about 450 miles south-southwest of Tallahassee - 24.2N 86.2W - Storm Intensity 90 mph - Movement North-northeast or 15 degrees at 12 mph SITUATION OVERVIEW ------------------ At 5 AM EDT, the center of Hurricane Helene was located about 420 miles south-southwest of Saint Marks, Florida. Helene is forecast to rapidly intensify while moving north-northeast through the eastern Gulf today. Helene is expected to make landfall along the Big Bend Coast this evening as a major hurricane. Helene will continue northward through south Georgia tonight. Any remaining preparations for Helene need to be rushed to completion early this morning. Conditions will deteriorate late this morning and this afternoon. Catastrophic impacts are expected across our region from high winds, catastrophic and life-threatening storm surge on the coast of Apalachee Bay, and considerable flash flooding from heavy rainfall. A few tornadoes are possible along and to the right of the track. Helene is a large storm and will have a fast forward speed at landfall, so impacts will penetrate far inland over Georgia. Tropical-storm force winds will extend hundreds of miles out from the center. Wind Threat: Helene will make landfall along the Florida Big Bend coast this evening as a Major Hurricane. While exact impacts will be heavily dependent on the track, expect catastrophic wind damage across the Big Bend and into southern Georgia. Widespread and prolonged power outages, damage to critical infrastructure, catastrophic damage to the trees and powerlines, widespread inaccessibility due to blocked roads, and damage to well-built structures will all be likely, particularly close to and east of the track. Power outages will likely last days, if not weeks. Due to the quick forward speed and large size of Helene, significant wind damage will extend well north into Georgia. Surge Threat: There is a danger of catastrophic and unsurvivable storm surge for Apalachee Bay. Storm surge may begin to arrive as early as mid-day today ahead of the winds. This forecast is a nightmare surge scenario for Apalachee Bay. Please take any evacuation orders seriously! Flooding Rain Threat: Widespread heavy rainfall is expected, with additional rainfall of 5 to 10 inches and local amounts to 15 inches in the forecast. Flash flooding is expected, and considerable flash flooding is likely. Minor to moderate riverine flooding is likely. Pockets of heavy rainfall on Wednesday will only make the region more vulnerable to heavy rainfall on today and tonight. Even though the hurricane is forecast to be moving quickly, very high rainfall rates and already saturated soils will combine for a serious flood risk across the region. Be prepared for widespread flash flooding and quickly rising rivers and streams. A Flood Watch remains in effect for the entire area. Tornadoes: While not the highest threat with this system, a few tornadoes will be possible along and east of the eventual track. POTENTIAL IMPACTS ----------------- * WIND: Protect against life-threatening wind having possible devastating impacts across the Florida Big Bend region and adjacent counties of far south Georgia. Potential impacts in this area include: - Structural damage to sturdy buildings, some with complete roof and wall failures. Complete destruction of mobile homes. Damage greatly accentuated by large airborne projectiles. Locations may be uninhabitable for weeks or months. - Numerous large trees snapped or uprooted along with fences and roadway signs blown over. - Many roads impassable from large debris, and more within urban or heavily wooded places. Many bridges, causeways, and access routes impassable. - Widespread power and communications outages. Also, protect against life-threatening wind having possible limited to extensive impacts across the rest of Southwest Georgia, southeast Alabama, and the eastern Florida Panhandle. * SURGE: Protect against life-threatening surge having possible catastrophic impacts along the coast of Apalachee Bay. Potential impacts in this area include: - Widespread deep inundation, with storm surge flooding greatly accentuated by powerful battering waves. Structural damage to buildings, with many washing away. Damage greatly compounded from considerable floating debris. Locations may be uninhabitable for an extended period. - Near-shore escape routes and secondary roads washed out or severely flooded. Flood control systems and barriers may become stressed. - Extreme beach erosion. New shoreline cuts possible. - Massive damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers. Numerous small craft broken away from moorings with many lifted onshore and stranded. Elsewhere across eastern Florida panhandle, Florida Big Bend, southeastern Alabama and southwestern Georgia, little to no impact is anticipated. * FLOODING RAIN: Protect against life-threatening rainfall flooding having possible devastating impacts across the Florida Big Bend, eastern Panhandle, Alabama Wiregrass, and Southwest Georgia. Potential impacts include: - Extreme rainfall flooding may prompt numerous evacuations and rescues. - Rivers and tributaries may overwhelmingly overflow their banks in many places with deep moving water. Small streams, creeks, and ditches may become raging rivers. Flood control systems and barriers may become stressed. - Flood waters can enter numerous structures within multiple communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or washed away. Numerous places where flood waters may cover escape routes. Streets and parking lots become rivers of raging water with underpasses submerged. Driving conditions become very dangerous. Numerous road and bridge closures with some weakened or washed out. * TORNADOES: Protect against a dangerous tornado event having possible significant impacts across the Florida Big Bend and south-central Georgia, or along and to the right of the center of Helene. Potential impacts include: - The occurrence of scattered tornadoes can hinder the execution of emergency plans during tropical events. - Several places may experience tornado damage with a few spots of considerable damage, power loss, and communications failures. - Locations could realize roofs torn off frame houses, mobile homes demolished, boxcars overturned, large trees snapped or uprooted, vehicles tumbled, and small boats tossed about. Dangerous projectiles can add to the toll. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS ---------------------------------- * EVACUATIONS: Follow the advice of local officials. * OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION: Now is the time to complete all preparations to protect life and property in accordance with your emergency plan. Ensure you are in a safe location before the onset of strong winds or possible flooding. If you are relocating to safe shelter, leave as early as possible. Allow extra time to reach your destination. Many roads and bridges will be closed once strong winds arrive. Check the latest weather forecast before departing and drive with caution. If heading to a community shelter, become familiar with the shelter rules before arrival, especially if you have special needs or have pets. Take essential items with you from your Emergency Supplies Kit. Failure to adequately shelter may result in serious injury or loss of life. Always heed the advice of local officials and comply with any orders that are issued. Remember, during the storm 9 1 1 Emergency Services may not be able to immediately respond if conditions are unsafe. This should be a big factor in your decision making. Keep cell phones well charged. Cell phone chargers for automobiles can be helpful, but be aware of your risk for deadly carbon monoxide poisoning if your car is left idling in a garage or other poorly ventilated area. If you are a visitor, be sure to know the name of the city in which you are staying and the name of the county in which it resides. Listen for these locations in local news updates. Pay attention for instructions from local authorities. Storm surge is the leading killer associated with tropical storms and hurricanes! Make sure you are in a safe area away from the surge zone. Even if you are not in a surge-prone area, you could find yourself cutoff by flood waters during and after the storm. Heed evacuation orders issued by the local authorities. Rapidly rising flood waters are deadly. If you are in a flood-prone area, consider moving to higher ground. Never drive through a flooded roadway. Remember, turn around don't drown! If a Tornado Warning is issued for your area, be ready to shelter quickly, preferably away from windows and in an interior room not prone to flooding. If driving, scan the roadside for quick shelter options. If in a place that is vulnerable to high wind, such as near large trees, a manufactured home, upper floors of a high-rise building, or on a boat, consider moving to a safer shelter before the onset of strong winds or flooding. Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather radio or local news outlets for official storm information. Be ready to adapt to possible changes to the forecast. Ensure you have multiple ways to receive weather warnings. * ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION: - For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov - For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org NEXT UPDATE ----------- The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather Service in Tallahassee FL around 12 Noon EDT, or sooner if conditions warrant.